Sunday, May 5, 2013

2013 NBA Playoffs Round 2


Round 2… FIGHT!

Eastern Conference

MIAMI HEAT (1) VS. CHICAGO BULLS (5)
The Nets are a trainwreck of epic wreckageness. How was it even possible for a team that well rostered to have been outplayed that badly by a Bulls team that was missing not only their best player but their second best scorer and their best outside shot? There’s no excuse for it (I am only miffed because I picked the Nets to win the series and the Bulls spoiled my perfect first round lol). Still, the real reason this happened is because the Bulls have so much more resolve, focus and are infinitely tougher. They were faced with an incredible challenge and they handled it. Big ups to Coach Thibodeau and his Bulls. Unfortunately for them, that is where the train will stop because they’re going to get slaughtered by the Heat in five. I don’t mean to be dismissive and I have a soft spot in my heart for the Bulls thanks to Michael but there’s just no way that the Heat, probably the best team in the game, are going to overlook or underhustle the way the Nets did. I’m going to give the Bulls a game only because their collective resolve is so strong but don’t be surprised if this is an outright sweep.
Heat in 5

NEW YORK KNICKS (2) VS. INDIANA PACERS (3)
We are in for a gritty battle. The Knicks have an obvious offensive edge with Melo and JR Smith able to go off for stretches where they are seemingly unstoppable. However, don’t overlook these Pacers who can irritate anybody with their ferocious defense and domination of the boards, able to then keep an opponent totally off balance… something we’ve seen New York very susceptible to; maybe even more so than any other team in the field. The Knicks survived the series with the Celtics largely due to the wild swings of their immense potential for firepower but not because of any manner of discipline or scoring balance. When JR Smith had to sit out a game to serve a suspension for being a bonehead, the Celtics turned the tide of the series and had the Knickerbockers wearing black and being ornery. No knock on the C’s who were spirited, if the Knicks found THEIR defense stifling and unsettling, wait til they get a load of Indy. The Pacers are actually fairly balanced offensively too with West, Hill and George able to put some buckets down when needed. I expect the Pacers to grind out some very tough games against the Knicks, frustrate their top threats and force somebody else to carry the load. If that happens more than three times, there’s a good chance that means the Knicks are staying in New York by next weekend. That said, I don’t think it happens that many times. I think the Knicks get lucky again and squeeze by because Melo drops 40 or something ridiculous in a critical tilt like game 5 or 6. Oh and there's a chance we spot an Amar'e and who knows what that means.
Knicks in 7



Western Conference

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (1) VS. MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (5)
Hate to be the harbinger here but this series spells all sorts of trouble for OKC and I am not sure they’re going to get through it. This would have been a very difficult series for them anyway were Westbrook not out for the rest of the year but the prospect of having to beat Memphis four times without him is not very encouraging. Granted, this is a veteran playoff team now and Durant is the best player in the West so it isn’t like they’re going to get run out of any buildings. What ought to be noted, though, is that the Grizzlies made very quick work of the Clippers with four straight wins after a game 3 adjustment. The Grizz are capable of antagonizing and shorting a team’s rhythm with quick active guards and two elite big men who are studs at both ends of the court. They exposed Griffin’s lack of an offensive game even before the ankle was an issue and made the Clippers one dimensional even though they still had plenty of guards who could score. The Thunder on the other hand lost their most explosive guard and outside of Martin, have unproven and shaky offensive options. If the Thunder are forced to become one dimensional as a result of Memphis’ defense, are they going to be tough enough defensively to stop them from scoring? The Rockets gave them some trouble after Westbrook went down and they don’t even play defense. I’m really not sure the Thunder get through here.
Grizzlies in 6

SAN ANTONIO SPURS (2) VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (6)
Most folks are going to tell me that the Warriors don’t have a chance against the mighty Spurs machine that hasn’t missed the playoffs since I was in high school and which can plug n play anyone from DaJuan Blair to Gary Neal and win. Except, the Spurs have not been an elite playoff contender since half a decade ago, are led by a big three that is aging (despite Duncan and Parker’s fantastic regular seasons) and have been resting courtesy of a quick first round. For older teams, that is often said to be a good thing. However, when they’re about to tangle with what is essentially the complete opposite scenario, a very young Warriors team that is full of energy both intrinsically and because they are coming off of a crazy, intense series, that may not be a good thing. The Warriors are going to have to play disciplined and cannot afford to turn the ball over as much as they did against Denver or go cold from the field for long stretches as they often did in that series. Late in games, they’re going to have to stay poised and focused on fundamental game scenarios. The Nuggets were very forgiving. Popovich and the Spurs will not be. I believe that, even though the Spurs are a get up and down the court team, the Warriors are significantly more athletic and explosive especially if Jack and Barnes continue to play the way they have. Bogut will have his hands full with Duncan and will get an opportunity to really earn that paycheck. If Curry goes off (which is a matter of when and not if, really), watch out. They have a bit of swagger now that this young group has a series win under their belt. Bring on the Spurs.
Warriors in 7





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